The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has shared its winter predictions, and they bring some interesting changes to the upcoming season. In a nutshell, Pakistan can expect somewhat higher temperatures and an increase in rainfall.
These forecasts are based on current climate indicators, such as El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which is expected to remain positive from November to January 2023-24. Additionally, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is likely to shift from a positive phase to neutral by the end of the season.
So, what does this mean for different regions of Pakistan? The western and north-western areas, like Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Balochistan, upper Punjab, and adjoining Kashmir, can anticipate normal to slightly above normal rainfall, thanks to western weather systems.
When it comes to temperatures, the outlook is warmer than the typical winter. Certain areas, like the southwestern parts of Balochistan, upper Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and Gilgit-Baltistan, might experience slightly higher temperatures.
Now, let’s break down the impacts of these predictions. On the positive side, the increased rainfall will be a boon for standing crops and vegetables. However, there may be occasional showers, hail, and wind storms, which could pose challenges for harvesting Kharif crops, particularly in the upper regions at the beginning of the season.
For the sowing of upcoming Rabi crops, there’s good news – adequate soil moisture is expected. While we anticipate intermittent rainfall, the plain areas of the country might experience periods of dense fog.
In summary, Pakistan is heading into a winter season with higher temperatures and more rainfall. These changes will bring opportunities and challenges, particularly for the agriculture sector. Keep an eye on updates from the Pakistan Meteorological Department as the season progresses.
 has shared its winter predictions, and they bring some interesting changes to the upcoming season. In a nutshell, Pakistan can expect somewhat higher temperatures and an increase in rainfall.){kind=link}